According to the weekly survey by Istituto Piepoli for il Giornale, the European elections are now well integrated in the thoughts of Italians.
The European elections are now well integrated in the thoughts of Italians. Time is running out: the ideas of the majority of parties and candidates are becoming clearer. The 36 days left to vote seem short. By now the numbers have stabilized: Fratelli d’Italia, the largest party in the running, confirms its leadership and tends to approach 30% of the available votes. I don’t know if this objective can be achieved, but psychologically it is close, also because the indication of the presence of President Giorgia Meloni in all five constituencies of the Republic is an indication of strong potential consensus. I think that the 2 million personal preferences of «Giorgia» are more of a surmountable objective than an actual reality, also for a very simple reason: the appeal to the people of «Giorgia» is interpreted as «the voice of one of us», that is, the voice of the people themselves. As for the Lega and Forza Italia, from our survey they would appear stable, while among the Government’s opponents, the Democratic Party would gain a little more trust among its voters. The changes of the remaining entities appear to be marginal and therefore do not affect their respective market shares. That of the 5 Star Movement is always quite high; at the same level as last week, that of the United States of Europe and Freedom. As for Action, Carlo Calenda’s list would gain half a point, leading it (probably) to success in terms of effective deputies elected.
As regards, in particular, the candidacy of «Giorgia», I notice some very interesting anomalies in terms of judgments on the protagonist. Firstly, that in the centre-right there are many people inclined to vote for “Giorgia” and therefore tend to stabilize the propensity to vote for the other right-wing parties and that there are “Giorgia” fans also in the 5 Star Movement and in the centre-right. Left. Secondly, that the figure of Giorgia Meloni is not envidiogenic (i.e. it does not generate envy) and therefore easy, if not necessary, to also be voted as a “symbol”.
Nicola Piepoli
